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Government and People... and them again...
Expectations...Rhetoric...Research Exercises?
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[Editorial] Be a Skeptic
Always be a skeptic. You may think of that phrase as a liberal or libertarian thing to say, but when you think about it, it means a whole lot more. We all spend our lives listening to each other’s stories, ideals, and dreams and usually we leave with some sort of an opinion. You may be a conspiracy theorist who may believe that the Bush administration had something to do with 9/11 or someone who thinks that all big business is bad. However, because you may have these beliefs, it does not allow you to stop listening to other people or their ideas. Someone that is seriously interested in making a change to their society will take in more than just spewing out facts. Take the Free Staters for example (more because of first-hand experience, but this applies to most groups). I say, “The issue that made me turn 100% against the Free Keene activists is that they think that cops are robots, who lack emotion and only do what they are told. It pains me to see people write that and to know that my own father had spent 20 hours straight outside of the house today working in New York City to protect and serve” (The Keene Observer, 19 October 2009). After some back and forth discussion in the comment area of the story, Ian Freeman summed up his argument into one statement: “Cops can ignore the law - it's called discretion as you agree above. Yes, it DOES mean they can ignore you breaking bad laws. Even judges can ignore their own rules.” Ian, I assume, wasn’t interested in listening to other ways to handle their activism, like protesting to their legislators and city council people rather than the cops whose jobs are to protect the law and the people (in this case) in Keene. There shows a lack in a balance of study. Anyone would say something like that because it is what they believe. An interesting point that Dr. Howard Dean brought up during a discussion with my history class was how people often make emotional decisions in relation to politics. Citing a book, he said that there was an experiment done that took Bush supporters and Kerry supporters, put them in an MRI machine and asked them questions about each candidate. When asked a question that went against their favored candidate, the supporter would try to down play how bad the act or opinion really was. However, when the supporter was asked about their opinion of the opposing candidate after a question regarding an act or opinion that was unfavorable, the supporter would state how bad that candidate was. So, about the Free Keene supporters, the fact that they support this project doesn’t make them bad people because it is an emotional issue (even though I disagree with them).
That brings me to the other facet of today’s editorial: the follower. The follower shouldn’t just start believing something because they like what they hear. In politics, this is called “drinking the Kool-Aid.” Shop around for ideologies that may better fit your principles because you may look back and realize that it was a mistake in believing in something that wasn’t in your best interest. When you read something political, like this, be a skeptic. Ask yourself “How would this happen?” or “Who would this benefit?” or any other question relevant to you. Let’s again take a look at the Free Staters. Ask yourself “Why hasn’t this been successfully implemented in the past?” or “What makes this better than the Conservatives or the Liberals?” There are always reasons why the “good” political theories aren’t in place today.
Let’s take a deeper look at the Free State argument. They generally believe in little to no government. Most people may not realize that Libertarianism/Anarchism is similar to Socialism/Communism. They both expect strong private support or strong public support, rather than a mix of the two. In theory, both expect little to no government. In Libertarianism, all property is private, and in Communism, all the property is shared. The biggest difference between the two, though, is the risk v. reward. Libertarianism has high risks, but big rewards. Communism has small risks, but small rewards. Libertarianism allows those that are natural predators to eat the prey alive, monopolizing markets and allowing unfair business practices. Communism prevents business to be a private venture, so that forces everyone to reap the benefits from successful business. However, it creates little competition, reducing the need for a high standard of services. Between the two, Communism has been tried most recently and was known to be a failure. Why? For the same exact reasons that Libertarianism would be a failure: the government/need for power. In both systems, there will be an inherent need for a leader (which will be discussed in further detail in a later editorial) or an urge to take advantage of a great opportunity. Communism was used as a suppression tool by most notably the Soviet government. It took all the businesses and private ventures and made them government-controlled. With Libertarianism, any venture could monopolize a market to the point where it would be under the same style of control as a Communist-run business. It would inhibit growth and would actually suppress the freedoms of the citizens because there would be nothing to step in between unfair business practices (like raising prices uncontrollably on purpose due to crisis, etc.). Business owners could suppress the public to the freedoms that the Free Staters promise with Libertarianism. There is a much larger and deeper argument that can be made, but that is the general argument. I can almost guarantee that no Free Stater would tell you that because that is not what they plan to happen in their “Free State” society.
So, be careful what you read. Be skeptical of everything, even the skeptics. Be even skeptical of this, because for all you know, I could be lying, the Free Staters could be lying, and your politician could be lying. But, the only way to know what you feel is correct is doing research and using YOUR logic. Just because they raise an issue and provide a possible solution doesn’t mean that a problem actually exists or the proposed solution would actually work.
Until next time,
Dennis J. Foley (EiC)
P.S.- Theoretically, every philosophy is correct, but the concern is whether they actually work in practice.
The Whigs Are Back!!
Word from across the pond
Firstly the House has yet to merge its three Bills into one. Now this wouldn't have being a problem if the Blue Dogs hadn't attempted a last minute surge in the last committee and turned a remarkably similar bill into a compromise. Now Pelosi and the other Democratic leaders have to agree on several competing questions.
Public Option: this is big, in fact Health Reform hinges on it. Why? Because the Congress has decided to throw money at health insurers to maximise coverage, so there needs to be at lease some cost control element to it. Otherwise the bill just doesn't work. Obama could pass a bill without the Public Option but it would be a massive defeat and everyone knows it. Now the House is debating two possible public options.
1) The Robust Public Option: The key to RPO are the rates are linked to Medicare +5%. Also called Medicare Plus 5, it is the most liberal PO still on the table. The Progressive caucus have threatened to vote against the bill if the public option isn't Robust and Pelosi likes it too. But make no mistake, this isn't a Progressive's wet dream (that's single payer), and Robust PO has broad support and even some Blue Dogs actively support it. Why? Because it works best, it's cheaper brings down rates faster and is easier to understand. But in rural states it would not be great because of how Medicare rates are calculated (as someone with no experience of Medicare I don't know the details) so the more conservatives Dems are looking for a compromise
2) The Weak Public Option: The idea is the public option stands alone and has to negotiate rates on its own in the open market. By its very name you can see what it's about, it's weaker so it's less competitive so insurance companies can keep rates higher and make more profit. But it does add some degree of competition.
The Blue Dogs were at first very vocal against the Public Option because a large amount of campaign cash flows from the Healthcare Industry to their re-election campaigns. As a consequence we saw them propose a co-op solution to cost containment to Pelosi to consider. But that issue is practically dead. Why? Because CBO came out and said basically "Co-ops don't work" and even worse "RPO is fiscally better than WPO". For the supposedly "fiscally responsible" blue dogs to ask their constituent to pay more taxes when they didn't need to was a tall order. Indeed they are breaking ranks.
The Maths: If we assume no Republican will support the bill and the Blue dogs say no Pelosi is 14 votes short. At least two Blue Dogs said yes to RPO so we'll see.
The other key problem in the House is how to pay for it. Progressives favour a surtax on the very wealthy, for obvious reasons. But there are two other options.
1) A soda tax: and other "sin" taxes would certainly help income revenue but it's hard to calculate how much tax it could raise and is a tax which hit the middle and working class more. But if it encourages people to act more healthy it could help reduce health problems anyway (debatable). It would also be go against Obama's promise for no taxes on the Middle/ Working class.
2) A tax on Healthcare Benefits: is the Republican idea of paying for healthcare (though they'd never vote for it) and would make the bill very bipartisan in my view (and hopefully the American People) even if not a single Republican voted for it. Economically speaking it's a great idea. It would generate a lot of funds and would reduce massive inefficiency in the system. But many workers gave up pay increases for better health insurance and the house progressives have said NO! so basically that's not going to happen in the House- but Pelosi has threatened it. Labour would also baulk at the proposal and could lead to a split party and a nasty Mid-Term.
And even if they solve the "how do I pay for it" and "what's the public option" questions, there are other issues that need to be resolved. For example the Republicans voted for Kucinich's Amendment which gives states the right to create a single payer system if the states vote for it. One of the more progressive states in America (Vermont) tried this only to be told it's illegal. In other words it would allow America to do what Canada did in her quest for Single Payer. The Republicans hoped it would kill it bill but we'll see if Pelosi keeps it.
I want to turn to the Senate now and explain what's happening there. The Newly released Finance Bill will be merged with HELP Bill and the final details will be hammered out with Baucus, Reid and Dodd with several other big players like Schumer and Snowe in there. Should be messy and probably behind closed doors.
In the senate RPO is called the Rockefeller Amendment which was handily defeated in the Finance Committee. It doesn't have 60 votes but it probably has about 47-53 votes depending. Now WPO is basically in the HELP bill and written by Dodd and has the backing of Schumer. By all rights WPO should be in the finance bill too but isn't. The Conservative Democrats beholden to the Health Insurance Industry have felt massive pressure. The clearest example is Kent Conrad: who says he opposes the Public Option linked to Medicare because his state is rural (fair enough, though the issue could be addressed
"Weak Public Option is like the British system because it's government run, we need a private sector solution like the French (paraphrased)."
And I'm not making that up.
Conrad is the Author of the Co-ops, which CBO says won't work, and he's pushing hard for them and won't compromise. There are two other compromises on the table; one which appears to have the support of the white house but is a massive cop-out and one which has split the progressives:
1) After Olympia Snowe's stellar performance today at Committee the Snowe Trigger has seen new light. Problem is it's designed to never kick in. In effect what it says is if the private sector fails to make it affordable, on a state by state basis the public option can come into effect. But if the Federal Government keep giving subsidiaries to the populace the PO would never come into effect. But if Snowe votes for it the bill would become "Bipartisan"
2) The Opt-out: this has split the progressives but if it is the WPO-Opt-out it would possibly make it two weak to function effectively. However RPO-Opt-out? Now that's an interesting idea which is well worth looking at. Proposed by Schumer it would say "every state has access to the Public Option, but if the legislatures wish it they can opt-out. It combines States Rights and a strong argument that PO is not a "government takeover".
The question over what's more important to the Dems has not being addressed: a good bill or a bipartisan bill?
The Senate's also having the same argument as the House about how to pay for it and again the issue is the best political option: surtax on the wealthy Vs. the best economical option: taxing healthcare benefits. Also on the table though are things like at what bracket do people get what help paying insurance. Then there's the Individual Mandate and how high the penalties are and the Employer Mandate and who are exempt.
But there are a few other problems. For a starters who gets the option to go on the exchange and who gets to have the option to go on the Public Option. Only the Wyden Amendment would allow everyone to go on the Public Option and break the Employer based Healthcare which makes business in America uncompetitive. If the PO is too narrow in who can go on it expect massive disappointment from the left.
The current hope is to get 60 votes for closure but the Conservative Democrats are playing Hardball. Nelson (NE), Landreui, Lincoln and Conrad in particular could throw a spanner in the works. The hope is they'll vote for closure on a WPO which the House would compromise down to. But Snowe's Trigger is a big problem.
